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Market Forecast Overview

Posts reflect the most recent forecast using a combination of cycles forecasting and the Elliott Wave Principle. Posted each Sunday (and sometimes more often).

All trades, patterns, charts, systems, etc., discussed in these articles are for illustrative and educational purposes only and not to be construed as specific advisory recommendations.

Futures, forex, equities, and option trading involves substantial risk, and may not be suitable for everyone. You can lose everything! Trading should only be done with true risk capital. Past performance either actual or hypothetical is not necessarily indicative of future performance.

A Question of Probability

The Elliott Wave Principle is a set of rules and guidelines for identifying recurring patterns in the market. The bulk of the work I do across ten specific assets on a daily basis involves deductive reasoning. There are thirteen simple patterns that repeat over and over again in the market. There are no other known… Read More

September: Lining Up for a Great Fall

For weeks now, I've been expecting a large fourth wave as part of a motive five wave sequence, because that's what you'd expect to get in a normal market. We would expect an end wave in 5 waves at the very top. However, the market has spoken and we're now not likely to get a… Read More

Wave Four From Hell

Four or Three? Last weekend here, I predicted that we had one more wave up to go before we hit the top of the third wave: "... the market made it very obvious we're not quite done with this third wave. All boats have risen to a new high, but the market has signalled one… Read More

Party Like It’s 2007!

Historic High Hopes The historic levels of optimism this week brought to mind one of Prince's best-known songs: "I was dreamin' when I wrote this, so sue me if I go too fast But life is just a party and parties weren't meant to last War is all around us, my mind says prepare to… Read More

A Rising Tide Lifts all Boats

We're at an inflection point. However, in this market (as in just about all markets), turning points are "a process." As I've been saying over and over, the financial world as we know it is moving as one entity. When a turn comes, everything is turning, and as with a large ocean liner, it takes… Read More

Cycles and the Ticking Time Bomb

We're on borrowed time. The Great Financial Revolution is underway and only months sit between us and a major financial collapse. One of the major cycles that I've talked about often is the 172 year cycle. This cycle is a "financial collapse cycle." There are larger and smaller cycles. The larger ones are even more… Read More

Ralph Elliott: Nature’s Law

Last week I wrote, "The turn is in." That certainly seems to be the case. The Summer Solstice was on June 21. The Nasdaq topped on June 9. For my Trader's Gold subscribers, I'd predicted a turn for ES/SPX on that day at 2446, which it hit (and I called the NQ top as it happened)… Read More

The Summer Solstice Slide

The turn is in. The Summer Solstice was on June 21 (Wednesday of this past week). The Nasdaq topped on June 9. For my Trader's Gold subscribers, I'd predicted a turn for ES/SPX on that day at 2446, which it hit (and I called the NQ top as it happened). However, I also predicted one… Read More

Elliott Waves and Lemmings

Edward R. Dewey, who worked for US President Hoover in the 1930s was a pioneer in the discovery of natures cycles. They affect business, the markets, and so much more. In the Great Depression, President Herbert Hoover asked Edward Dewey, who at the time was the Chief Economic Analyst at the Department of Commerce, to… Read More

Elliott Wave: Triangular Oil

My focus this weekend is on contracting triangles, one of three types of Elliott wave corrective patterns (flats, zigzags, and triangles). This is timely because of the pattern in oil. We've been in a contracting triangle since early 2015. Contracting triangles are the most common type of triangle. When they’re in the fourth wave position, they… Read More