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Market Forecast Overview

Posts reflect the most recent forecast using a combination of cycles forecasting and the Elliott Wave Principle. Posted each Sunday (and sometimes more often).

All trades, patterns, charts, systems, etc., discussed in these articles are for illustrative and educational purposes only and not to be construed as specific advisory recommendations.

Futures, forex, equities, and option trading involves substantial risk, and may not be suitable for everyone. You can lose everything! Trading should only be done with true risk capital. Past performance either actual or hypothetical is not necessarily indicative of future performance.

Gravity Always Wins in the End

We're at a full Elliott Wave count in the US indices, as we are in exchanges around the world. The next major move is to the downside. They may not all turn on the same day, but they should turn more or less together. Below is a selection of exchanges from countries around the world… Read More

The Top is at Hand

Probability and Elliott Wave At the risk of beating a dead horse to within an inch of its life, let me once again touch on the core of the Elliott Wave Principle. "Without Elliott, there appear to be an infinite number of possibilities for market action. What the Wave Principle provides is a means of… Read More

One Market, Two Waves, One Trade

A Textbook Ending Diagonal An 8 day chart of the Toronto Stock Exchange. I don't think it requires much of a comment. _____________________ The Reluctant Fourth We've seen this story before in this market, particularly with ES/SPX. The waves rally just as far as they can legally go and then when everyone "gives up" and… Read More

Elliott Wave: Ending Diagonals

Gradually over the past year or so (since I first mentioned it), the USD currency pairs, the US dollar, the US indices, bonds, and gold have become more and more closely aligned. With the potential top in place in oil, all assets with any relationship to the reserve currency are now moving towards a final… Read More

Time for a Small Dose of Reality

Extremes Are Rampant! I'm overly sensitive to the extremes in society, not just the extremes in climate. We've certainly seen climate extremes, not only in temperature but in fires, in floods, and in hurricanes. We also have lots of active volcanoes, but you don't hear about them all that much (but then the media isn't… Read More

Mother Nature Always Wins

The American Eclipse, Hurricane Harvey, and Hurricane Irma are marking the top of a major climate cycle. Extreme climatic events always mark a climatic, societal, and economic shift and predict a major depression and market crash. 2017  has been a banner year for aurora borealis light shows towards the North Pole. "As it is about… Read More

What Goes Up … Must Come Down

I'm a sailor - a captain who has a fair amount of experience with pleasure yachts up to about 50 feet, or so. I learned to sail back in about 1964 when I lived in Long Island, New York. My father built a Sunfish, which is a small one sail boat with a centreboard—absolutely perfect… Read More

The Hopium Epidemic

All eyes are on Hurricane Harvey which continues to ravage Texas this week. Along with tornados, forest fires, and other extreme weather events, the US has undergone several  years of Mother Nature tearing away at the standard of living of so many, coupled with huge insurance claims and additional substantial costs from other sources of… Read More

Back to the Future

There was some attention paid in the free blog to the impending "crash" and the suggestion that it must be an EW third wave, due to it's intensity, with the assumption that the market just keels over at some point and heads down immediately in a third wave, somehow skipping over the requirement for a… Read More

A Question of Probability

The Elliott Wave Principle is a set of rules and guidelines for identifying recurring patterns in the market. The bulk of the work I do across ten specific assets on a daily basis involves deductive reasoning. There are thirteen simple patterns that repeat over and over again in the market. There are no other known… Read More