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Market Forecast Overview

Posts reflect the most recent forecast using a combination of cycles forecasting and the Elliott Wave Principle. Posted each Sunday (and sometimes more often).

All trades, patterns, charts, systems, etc., discussed in these articles are for illustrative and educational purposes only and not to be construed as specific advisory recommendations.

Futures, forex, equities, and option trading involves substantial risk, and may not be suitable for everyone. You can lose everything! Trading should only be done with true risk capital. Past performance either actual or hypothetical is not necessarily indicative of future performance.

Mother Nature Always Wins

The American Eclipse, Hurricane Harvey, and Hurricane Irma are marking the top of a major climate cycle. Extreme climatic events always mark a climatic, societal, and economic shift and predict a major depression and market crash. 2017  has been a banner year for aurora borealis light shows towards the North Pole. "As it is about… Read More

What Goes Up … Must Come Down

I'm a sailor - a captain who has a fair amount of experience with pleasure yachts up to about 50 feet, or so. I learned to sail back in about 1964 when I lived in Long Island, New York. My father built a Sunfish, which is a small one sail boat with a centreboard—absolutely perfect… Read More

The Hopium Epidemic

All eyes are on Hurricane Harvey which continues to ravage Texas this week. Along with tornados, forest fires, and other extreme weather events, the US has undergone several  years of Mother Nature tearing away at the standard of living of so many, coupled with huge insurance claims and additional substantial costs from other sources of… Read More

Back to the Future

There was some attention paid in the free blog to the impending "crash" and the suggestion that it must be an EW third wave, due to it's intensity, with the assumption that the market just keels over at some point and heads down immediately in a third wave, somehow skipping over the requirement for a… Read More

A Question of Probability

The Elliott Wave Principle is a set of rules and guidelines for identifying recurring patterns in the market. The bulk of the work I do across ten specific assets on a daily basis involves deductive reasoning. There are thirteen simple patterns that repeat over and over again in the market. There are no other known… Read More

September: Lining Up for a Great Fall

For weeks now, I've been expecting a large fourth wave as part of a motive five wave sequence, because that's what you'd expect to get in a normal market. We would expect an end wave in 5 waves at the very top. However, the market has spoken and we're now not likely to get a… Read More

Wave Four From Hell

Four or Three? Last weekend here, I predicted that we had one more wave up to go before we hit the top of the third wave: "... the market made it very obvious we're not quite done with this third wave. All boats have risen to a new high, but the market has signalled one… Read More

Party Like It’s 2007!

Historic High Hopes The historic levels of optimism this week brought to mind one of Prince's best-known songs: "I was dreamin' when I wrote this, so sue me if I go too fast But life is just a party and parties weren't meant to last War is all around us, my mind says prepare to… Read More

A Rising Tide Lifts all Boats

We're at an inflection point. However, in this market (as in just about all markets), turning points are "a process." As I've been saying over and over, the financial world as we know it is moving as one entity. When a turn comes, everything is turning, and as with a large ocean liner, it takes… Read More

Cycles and the Ticking Time Bomb

We're on borrowed time. The Great Financial Revolution is underway and only months sit between us and a major financial collapse. One of the major cycles that I've talked about often is the 172 year cycle. This cycle is a "financial collapse cycle." There are larger and smaller cycles. The larger ones are even more… Read More