World Cycles Institute

Global Cooling: A Bad Bet for Business

atom and sine

Everything that happens on Earth happens in cycles. The only straight line is in man’s mind. There are no straight lines in nature. Everything is nature is formed by spinning spheres, or waves.

Spinning spheres emit waves. We know this happens with the planets; they emit electromagnetic wave. Waves are everywhere in the Earth’s atmophere (and in outer space) and waves create cycles. Cycles affect just about every aspects of our lives on Earth.

There are lots of different cycles of different lengths. However, the major cycles tend to be somewhat harmonic (they’re divisible by three, to find the next higher or lower cycle). Major cycles are 7, 19, 57, 172, 515, and 1030.

Stephen Puetz wrote a book on the probabilities of cycles, tracking cycles back through the beginning of time. It’s called the Unified Cycle theory and you’ll find it in my recommended book list.

Below is the civilization chart I created (featured in the video).


The data above comes from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration—from the Greenland Ice Core Research project ending in 1992. Ice cores are an extremely accurate method of determining temperature back through the centuries. This data is undisputed by the scientific community, but has been suppressed by the UN-associated, man-made warming advocates. It also reinforces the findings of Dr. Raymond Wheeler in his research over fifty years earlier of tree ring data, weather records, military records, locust plagues, historical chronicles, sunspot records, etc.

You can see the large temperature peaks every 1030 years – the red arrows. These extremely warm and wet periods supported bountiful crops and major societies grew to the height of their power.

The correlation of warm and wet climate with the rise of major civilizations is striking. When the climate turns warm and wet for long periods, the world’s greatest empires have emerged – Egypt, Greece, Rome, the Mayans, the Vikings, and so on.

When the climate grew colder, these great cultures fell into ruin. Bad things start to happen when climate turns cold and rainfall stops. Rome burned as it got colder. Hadrian’s Wall was built to keep out invaders at the bottom of a cold spell. Social mood always turns negative with colder climate. And that brings about riots and wars.

Cold periods often get labeled as dark ages, because there is little advancement of living standards.

So here we are at the top of the Modern Warm Period. Unless this time is different, the Earth is going to get a lot colder and dryer. Most likely for several hundred years. We’ll also see a major financial collapse. Yes, that’s one of the great features of the 172 year cycle. It’s happened throughout history, like clockwork.

Let’s look at climate cycles over the past eleven thousand years … the big picture:


In the chart above, you can see that we came out of the glacial period about ten thousand years ago.And then we had these up and down periods of warm and cold … cycles. It’s like a giant sine wave. Temperature moves up and down over time … on a fairly predictable schedule.

Today, we’re in what’s called the Modern Warm Period. And there’s climate mania!—Even though it’s been warmer on Earth many times before and in fact the trendline shows it’s gradually getting cooler, because the Sun is cooling. Nobody disputes that—well, no astrophysicists, at any rate.

The next cold period is signified by the dark blue blob right below Climate Mania. It’s starting now. But, how do we know all this?


In the early to mid 1900s, Dr. Raymond Wheeler, with a team of 200 researchers analyzed climate back 20 centuries to 600 BC. He used tree rings and sunspot records to plot both temperature and rainfall over that entire period.

He identified major climate cycles of 100, 170, 515, and 1030 years and predicted extreme weather at about the year 2000, followed by a turn colder and a long-term drought … and sure enough, that’s what seems to be happening. You can find his drought clock here. My video on Dr. Wheeler and his seasons is here.

The picture above shows Dr. Wheeler with “The Big Book,” over 2000 pages of all his data on climate cycles in which he correlated major events throughout history. He’s shown how climate cycles repeat with event patterns over and over again. The Big Book exists in the archives of Baruch College, in New York City.


Above is a picture of The Big Book today. I tracked it down in New York City recently.

In Dr. Wheeler’s own words:

  1. The divisions of history long ago observed by historians—ancient, Medieval, and modern—are more than divisions of history. They are long climatic cycles.
  2. The six century BC, the first AD, the fifth AD, and the 10th and 15th were all natural turning point in history, marked each time by the decline and fall of civilizations the world over and the birth of a new era. In each case these centuries terminated 500 year cycles in long range weather trends. Each was an exceptionally cold period in history..
  3. The six century BC, the fifth AD, and the 15thmarked a end of the still longer cycle, on the order of 1000 years. These centuries were characterized by exceptionally profound reorganizations and revolutions in the civilizations of the world.
  4. Current events show that another world convulsion is occurring second only to (1) the emergence of rational thought in the sixth century BC, (2) the fall of Rome and other ancient civilizations in the 5th-century and the beginning of the medieval world based on feudalism, and (3) the final collapse of the Middle Ages in the 15th-century. The current convulsion is comparable to the birth of Christianity in the first century and to the birth of the modern nation as a fuedal principality in the ninth and 10 centuries.
  5. All of these reorganizations of society were marked by spurts in the evolution of democratic institutions.

In fact, the global temperatures have gone sideways since 1998 and the recent drop in solar activity is warning of much colder times ahead.

The head of the International Space Station, a Russian astrophysicist, with a name I can’t pronounce, has publicly predicted a mini ice age.

Next 25 years

The above chart shows the projection of solar maximums over the next 50 years or so. These cycles happen every 11.2 years and fluctuate in terms of their intensity over decades. The most recent solar cycle has been far less intense that previous ones and because the sun is responsible for our warmth, less intensity results in colder temperatures on Earth, just as it has during similar periods (the Little Ice Age, for example, on the “civilizations chart” above.

The Sun and the Planets are the main drivers of climate change on our tiny, little planet—we know that. And we can’t change Mother Nature.

Science tells us it’s going to get colder. If history is are guide, the colder climate will last for hundreds of years.

You see, history repeats … over and over again. So if you want to know the future, you look at the past.

Similar articles by category: climate
{ 38 comments… add one }
  • Kerry Balenthiran April 20, 2016, 5:25 am

    Valley, I am having trouble navigating this site and finding where you are.

    I couldn’t see anything on the discussion forum?

  • Stormy June 25, 2016, 10:18 pm

    Sad Obama & Bush before him have wasted billions on global worming when we should be preparing for the real emergency. Poor melinials.

  • whitemare June 26, 2016, 9:37 pm

    then if we are starting to cool why are the icecaps melting and the near term heating phenomena –high temperatures, droughts, fires etc– getting worse? When does the hot cycle end?

    • Peter Temple June 26, 2016, 9:54 pm

      we’re going sideways, just like the market has for the past year and a half. It take awhile for the turn to happen, of course. Antarctica has been adding ice for the past few years. Wheeler’s lower end cycles are 25 years. The first part of a cold cycle is wet and then it becomes dry later on. You’re seeing the wet part all over the world at the moment. Lots of floods.

      You can think of this current period as two weather systems (of a much larger scale because they’re climate systems) colliding (like a high and low pressure system colliding). Wheeler predicted extreme weather starting around the year 2000 (the high was 1998) and I would guess we have a few more years until we see temperatures drop to any great degree. It took the temperature 25 years to rise (from 1975, which was the low—people were calling for a mini ice age then), so you can think about it in that kind of timeframe.

  • whitemare June 28, 2016, 9:04 am


  • feinho June 16, 2017, 11:48 am

    Obrigado por partilhar. All Gore lie.

  • Patrick March 14, 2019, 12:27 am

    In regards to the temperature peaks, the period from 2007AD to 977AD is 1030 years. From 977AD to 54BC is also 1030 years. But to the next peak, at 1256BC it is about 1200 years from 54BC.

    Thus the length is different, how would you explain that?

    • Peter Temple March 14, 2019, 6:58 am

      The difference is one subcycle of 172 years.

  • Marie Slattery April 28, 2019, 11:19 am

    “Every trend must go to it’s grotesque extreme and evoke its own reversal.”..P.Q Wall

  • Deborah Danielson April 29, 2019, 3:42 pm

    Peter, I discovered your posts a few months ago. Although I am not a trader and some of what you discuss is beyond my understanding, I enjoy learning about cycles. And I am at retirement age and concerned about surviving a devastating crash.
    Just to refresh before my questions: The Great Depression-1929. Adding 7, 19, 57 and 172 is 1936, 1946, 1986 and 2101.
    The other 3 major downturns are 1987, 2000 and 2008; pretty darn good matchup.
    So adding the cycle numbers to 1987=1994, 2006, 2054 and 2159.
    2000 plus=2007, 2019, 2057 and 2172.
    2008 plus=2015, 2027, 2065 and 2180.
    *Questions-did we miss a major downturn between 2015 and 2019 or is it yet to come?
    Are my retirement funds safe in a 401(k)? If not, where else is a safer place?
    Are the longer cycle crashes, 57 and 172 years more devastating, affecting huge populations, than shorter cycles of 7and 19 years, like the bubble bursting?
    Thank you for your posts and blogs and your dedication to logic and facts and educating people. I look forward to your continued posts.

    • Peter Temple April 30, 2019, 7:21 am

      Deb, the big downturn (crash) is another year to year and a half away. The larger cycles dominate the smaller ones. 2007 was the top of both a 172 year and 516 year cycle, but banksters have been able to keep the market up by flooding the economy with more debt. You retirement funds will not be OK in 401K. Cash is king. We’re heading into a deflationary period where money will increase in value (for the first time in a century – it did for a few years after the 1929 crash, but this one coming is very much larger). Deflation means all assets will decline in nominal value (because money changes value), so homes will eventually drop to under 20% of value at the top. We’ll also loose a lot of banks once mortgages start to default.

      So … cash .. .in a safe or vault or your mattress. I’m expecting a big market drop any day now, but we still have to reach a final high after that. This will be a worldwide depression, taking us into a time period we have traditionally called “the Dark Ages.”

      • Peter Temple April 30, 2019, 9:24 am

        Let me add a few lines to this comment. The key cycles I follow are:
        7 year – fluctuations in commodities
        18.5 year – real estate and rainfall cycle
        57 year – (Kondratief) war, depression
        172 year – climate cycle, depression, stock market collapse, deflation
        516 year – civilization (power shift) the current empire peaks and starts to crumble, power based moves from east to west (or vice versa) at this cycle top. I coincides with the 172 year cycle, so that the depressions are much more severe and usually results in a new financial system
        All the above cycles are harmonic (you multiply by three to get the next higher).

        • Deborah May 1, 2019, 1:19 pm

          Dang it! You know that’s not the answer I was hoping to get😢 and yet I am so grateful to have your knowledge and wisdom so I can plan ahead, way way way ahead. CASH it is then. We’ve all heard stories of people hiding cash under the mattress especially after the Great Depression; now I truly understand why. Fire and water proof safes sound good. I’m guessing I’ll spread it around rather than keep all my eggs in one basket, so to speak.
          Thank you, again, for your dedication to your proven logical patterns and helping to keep the rest of us informed and prepared-fore warned is fore armed!

          • Peter Temple May 1, 2019, 4:34 pm

            I have another webinar coming up on this, but I’m waiting for a top in the market before I schedule it .. so that there’s a bit more fear out there. You’re an “early adopter,” but most folks don’t have any idea of the magnitude of what’s going to happen. In Europe, I’ve been told they’re already hiding cash in mattresses. They’re ahead of the US in terms of a deflationary environment.

            You’re welcome! Stay safe.

  • Zanna Z. ZixT9 July 29, 2019, 10:21 am

    This is exactly what Martin Armstrong has been saying since 2015.

    • Peter Temple July 29, 2019, 5:47 pm

      This information has been out there for over a hundred years, and Martin and I both come from the Foundation for the Study of Cycles. So I’m sure he had this information well before 2015, as I did.

  • marcus weeding November 15, 2019, 4:32 pm

    I always said climate runs in cycles!!!

    • Peter Temple November 15, 2019, 5:20 pm

      So does history, economic cycles, depressions, pandemics, wars, and just about everything else that happens on this planet.

  • tom0mason November 23, 2019, 8:47 am

    Thanks for the great video.
    The whole climate worrying scam is just a big lie.
    A fake.
    A fraud, perpetrated by the UN to gain control over you and money from you, and become the unelected World Government.
    There is NO truth to ‘Climate Alarmism’.
    The UN-IPCC blessed ‘climate models™’ can never discover the future climate scenarios because those in ‘climate science™’ do not understand, mischaracterize, or incorrectly recognize so much of the climate system, including the important area of how the chaos inherent in the process operates.

    From all the evidence to date WE ARE NOT AT THE START OF AN EXTINCTION EVENT brought about by climate change.
    From biology it is evident that humans and our industrial venting of CO2 is NOT a problem, nature uses more CO2 than we could possibly exhaust to the atmosphere, and nature NOT humans regulates how much CO2 stays in the atmosphere via the oceans and biosphere. The more CO2 is released from fossil sources the more nature will expand to use it. IT IS A WIN-WIN SCENARIO with no downside for the human species.
    If you believe otherwise then you are not recognizing either history or this planet’s natural processes.
    But belief is all the climate worriers have — their ‘climate worrying’ has become a new religion!

  • tom0mason November 23, 2019, 9:00 am

    History rarely (exactly) repeats but it often rhymes.
    That is to concur with what you say that life and nature on this planet is all about quasi-periodic cycles, however the timing and the extent of each ‘repeat’ is never exactly the same — something inherent from the chaotic nature of this planet’s climate.

  • Edwin C. September 23, 2021, 9:01 am

    Hi Peter,

    Here in the West Coast of the US, it is experiencing a severe drought with reservoir levels hitting historical lows. When do you anticipate the wet season to kick in? Thank you.

    • Peter Temple October 13, 2021, 7:25 am

      Hi Edwin,
      Apologies for the delay; it’s been an extraordinarily busy few weeks. The overall dryness (and colder) is going to continue for at least a hundred years, if not a lot longer. The wet season within that dry period should start in a few years, I think. We’ve already had the flood period a few years ago, which usually happens during the cycle topping process. The recent flooding is another matter (part of the covert war going on).

      These wet seasons within the larger climatic downturn to cold-dry are very difficult to predict, and can be of any length, but usually shorter than 25 years. The topping process, which we’re still in, usually lasts 25-35 years and I put the top at about 1998, so we should be getting close to the turn down into colder climate. It should get wetter once that turn happens, but that’a bout as close as i can get.

      • Edwin October 14, 2021, 11:10 am

        Thank you Peter for addressing my question. I’m happy to see that you’re still answering questions on your website! This is exciting and scary times, especially with the long term trend to become colder–usually results in bad times as you are well aware. I’m glad that there are wet seasons within the bigger cold/dry trend.

        • Peter Temple October 14, 2021, 11:52 am

          I always try to answer questions. I stopped on the market blog because of the attecks on me and others. Way too distracting. The cold-wet periods are the toughest of all the cycles to predict time-wise, but we should get one as it starts to get cooler. The interesting thing is all the technology and money coming, which I hope will put a damper on what would otherwise be a major depression. So, I’m quite hopeful and certainly excited as to what’s the come.

  • LEN LANE October 16, 2021, 12:31 pm

    Great idea. Hi; hope all is going great for you.

    • Peter Temple October 16, 2021, 3:51 pm

      It is, although frustrated, like everyone else, but the light is not far away. Best to you and God bless. Nothing will stop what is coming.

  • William Fold November 1, 2021, 2:33 pm

    Are you sure that the Paris Climate Agreement has been put to bed, since Slow Joe has renewed USA membership?
    When is your predicted crash now that 2021 has arrived? Do you have an explanation for the markets being where they are now? Isn’t it a bit early, under your thinking, for cash to be stored in mattresses?
    Maybe it is time to stop trying to end CO2 emissions which might ameliorate the coming cooling if one believes that CO2 is THE global warming culprit instead of uncontrollable water vapor which is said to be the most abundant greenhouse gas. I, for one, do not believe in anthropogenic climate change or global warming. I think it is a religion that has captivated millions and is making some hypocritical and dishonest people very rich at the expense of the masses.
    How about a 6 month update on your video and article.
    Thanks for the interesting analysis from April 2021.

    • William Fold November 1, 2021, 2:39 pm

      I see now that this video may have been made in 2016, so a new video/article would be great.

      • Peter Temple November 1, 2021, 2:47 pm

        Yes, March 2016. You can find this weekend’s market report by clicking on the Market Forecast tab in the menu … and even go back as far as you like.
        You can find a larger view of the market a bit further down on the landing page “The next seven years …”
        I haven’s updated this particular video because nothing has changed. The prognosis is the same and we’re getting colder.

        You can watch the English Empire video (longer) for predictions of the revolution we’re undergoing right now. All working to forecast.

  • William Fold November 1, 2021, 2:42 pm

    Are you sure that the Paris Climate Agreement has been put to bed, since Slow Joe has renewed USA membership?
When is your predicted crash now that 2021 has arrived? Do you have an explanation for the markets being where they are now? Isn’t it a bit early, under your thinking, for cash to be stored in mattresses?
Maybe it is time to stop trying to end CO2 emissions which might ameliorate the coming cooling if one believes that CO2 is THE global warming culprit instead of uncontrollable water vapor which is said to be the most abundant greenhouse gas. I, for one, do not believe in anthropogenic climate change or global warming. I think it is a religion that has captivated millions and is making some hypocritical and dishonest people very rich at the expense of the masses.
How about a 5 year update on your video and article.
Thanks for the interesting analysis from 2016.

  • Ben November 9, 2021, 10:19 am

    I agree that the world is cyclical and following these charts showing the rise and fall of major civilizations along with those warming and cooling cycles is fascinating. Most people love to forecast future models without any cycles in them only to find themselves in trouble when some correction hits regardless of the subject on the chart. All the political rhetoric regarding the warming of the climate to me is usually spurred by an agenda stemming from one thing, Money. I love this interesting glimpse of the past, and those who ignore it are destined to suffer. The trouble with anything measured over vast amounts of time is the variations that are ever so slight can have a huge impact on the future prediction. It is like the Cascadia Subduction Zone, which on average has ruptured with a major earthquake and tsunami every 243 years, but hasn’t had a catastrophic event in 321 years and counting. So can we say it is 78 years overdue? Or in geological time just waiting until the right moment to unleash its fury, all the while building more and more pressure to increase its magnitude. Climate change is real, it is man who is delusional in his mind thinking that he can control it. Neanderthal man saw climate change coming, documented the Mammoths and Sabretooths on his cave walls for us to find, then he yawned, shrugged his shoulders and tossed another carbon producing log on the fire. He did feel better that he was feeding the surrounding trees and plants the carbon they need to grow, just another element in the never ending cycles….. thank you again for these thought insights!

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